Is a booster box of OP02 worth opening?
On average, no: selling the cards from a OP02 box would get you $104, 20% of the $534 it costs. A typical box gives $59.43 and only 2.2% of boxes get your money back. If you're after a specific card, buying it as a single is usually cheaper.
How reliable the rates are: fair (community estimate).
OP02 pull rates
How many cards of each rarity group come in a 24-pack box, how many packs it takes to pull one specific card of the group and how much the group adds to the box value.
| Rarity | Cards | Per box | One specific | Adds | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manga | 1 | 0.021 (0.014–0.035) | 1 in 1,143 packs | $35.70 | 24% |
| AA | 16 | 1.8 (1.3–2.2) | 1 in 213 packs | $34.72 | 24% |
| Leader AA | 8 | 0.33 (0.20–0.42) | 1 in 582 packs | $22.99 | 16% |
| Common | 45 | 165 (155–175) | 1 in 7 packs | $17.56 | 12% |
| Uncommon | 30 | 70 (60–75) | 1 in 10 packs | $10.43 | 7.1% |
| Rare | 26 | 36 (26–40) | 1 in 17 packs | $9.57 | 6.5% |
| SR | 10 | 7.0 (5.0–8.0) | 1 in 34 packs | $9.06 | 6.1% |
| SEC AA | 2 | 0.17 (0.080–0.25) | 1 in 282 packs | $3.26 | 2.2% |
| SEC | 2 | 0.50 (0.33–0.75) | 1 in 96 packs | $2.92 | 2.0% |
| Leader | 8 | 5.0 (3.0–8.0) | 1 in 38 packs | $1.64 | 1.1% |
The cards that carry the box
What weighs most in the expected value: expensive cards that are hard to pull.
Portgas.D.Ace (OP02-013): 1 in 1,143 packs, 24% of the box value. $1,700
Nami (OP02-036): 1 in 213 packs, 5.1% of the box value. $67.25
Monkey.D.Luffy (OP02-062): 1 in 213 packs, 4.9% of the box value. $64.44
Sanji (OP02-026): 1 in 582 packs, 3.5% of the box value. $127
Portgas.D.Ace (OP02-013): 1 in 213 packs, 3.3% of the box value. $44.02
Monkey.D.Garp (OP02-002): 1 in 582 packs, 3.2% of the box value. $114
The most expensive OP02 cards
Their version and today's TCGplayer and Cardmarket price.
| Card | Rarity | TCGplayer | Cardmarket | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portgas.D.Ace OP02-013Parallel · Manga · Alternate Art | Super Rare | $1,700 | €1,821 | |
| Monkey.D.Garp OP02-002Alternate Art | Leader | $114 | €173 | |
| Edward.Newgate OP02-001Alternate Art | Leader | $99.88 | €123 | |
| Sanji OP02-026Alternate Art | Leader | $127 | €109 | |
| Monkey.D.Luffy OP02-062Alternate Art | Super Rare | $64.44 | €72.45 | |
| Portgas.D.Ace OP02-013Parallel | Super Rare | $44.02 | €69.51 | |
| Smoker OP02-093Alternate Art | Leader | $78.01 | €64.33 | |
| Nami OP02-036Alternate Art | Super Rare | $67.25 | €49.78 | |
| Emporio.Ivankov OP02-049Alternate Art | Leader | $39.65 | €44.55 | |
| Magellan OP02-071Alternate Art | Leader | $32.54 | €38.08 | |
| Kin'emon OP02-025Alternate Art | Leader | $31.75 | €29.33 | |
| Zephyr OP02-072Alternate Art | Leader | $34.80 | €24.37 |
OP02 booster box price over the last year
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Sealed product
Booster box Paramount War - Booster Box$534TCGplayer market price
Booster pack Paramount War - Booster Pack$26.82TCGplayer market price
Where the numbers come from
The expected value adds up, for each rarity group, the copies in a box times the average price of its cards (the English card, with its TCGplayer price or, if there isn't one, Cardmarket's converted). The simulation opens 10,000 boxes with the same rates.
Generic community estimate for English boxes, extrapolated to OP02 with no counts of its own.
Pull rate sources: en.onepiece-cardgame.com (opens in a new tab) · onepiece.app (opens in a new tab) · tcgplayer.com (opens in a new tab)
Open it in the Kolekto Market
Tweak the rates, choose between the box and loose packs and see how 10,000 simulated boxes turn out.