Is a booster box of JTG worth opening?
On average, no: selling the cards from a JTG box would get you $44.32, 21% of the $208 it costs. A typical box gives $37.63 and only 0.0% of boxes get your money back. If you're after a specific card, buying it as a single is usually cheaper.
How reliable the rates are: good (several sources that agree).
JTG pull rates
How many cards of each rarity group come in a 36-pack box, how many packs it takes to pull one specific card of the group and how much the group adds to the box value.
| Rarity | Cards | Per box | One specific | Adds | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Common | 85 | 144 (144–144) | 1 in 21 packs | $23.23 | 22% |
| Reverse holo | 143 | 68 (68–69) | 1 in 75 packs | $20.00 | 19% |
| Illustration | 11 | 3.1 (2.8–3.3) | 1 in 129 packs | $17.11 | 16% |
| Special illustration | 6 | 0.42 (0.34–0.50) | 1 in 517 packs | $14.83 | 14% |
| Uncommon | 42 | 108 (108–108) | 1 in 14 packs | $14.32 | 13% |
| Rare | 16 | 26 (26–27) | 1 in 22 packs | $5.52 | 5.2% |
| Double Rare | 16 | 7.3 (7.0–7.6) | 1 in 79 packs | $5.35 | 5.0% |
| Ultra Rare | 11 | 2.4 (2.2–2.5) | 1 in 168 packs | $4.34 | 4.1% |
| Hyper Rare (gold) | 3 | 0.26 (0.20–0.33) | 1 in 411 packs | $2.25 | 2.1% |
The cards that carry the box
What weighs most in the expected value: expensive cards that are hard to pull.
Lillie's Clefairy ex (JTG 184/159): 1 in 517 packs, 4.9% of the box value. $75.20
Articuno (JTG 161/159): 1 in 129 packs, 3.5% of the box value. $13.62
N's Reshiram (JTG 167/159): 1 in 129 packs, 2.9% of the box value. $11.08
Salamence ex (JTG 187/159): 1 in 517 packs, 2.7% of the box value. $41.16
Wailord (JTG 162/159): 1 in 129 packs, 2.5% of the box value. $9.62
N's Zoroark ex (JTG 185/159): 1 in 517 packs, 2.1% of the box value. $32.28
The most expensive JTG cards
Their version and today's TCGplayer and Cardmarket price.
| Card | Rarity | TCGplayer | Cardmarket | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Lillie's Clefairy ex JTG 184/159Normal | Special Illustration Rare | $75.20 | €84.32 |
|
Salamence ex JTG 187/159Normal | Special Illustration Rare | $41.16 | €55.47 |
|
N's Zoroark ex JTG 185/159Normal | Special Illustration Rare | $32.28 | €43.09 |
 |
Hop's Zacian ex JTG 186/159Normal | Special Illustration Rare | $23.30 | €33.39 |
 |
Iono's Bellibolt ex JTG 183/159Normal | Special Illustration Rare | $27.62 | €28.37 |
|
N's Reshiram JTG 167/159Normal | Illustration Rare | $11.08 | €20.58 |
|
Articuno JTG 161/159Normal | Illustration Rare | $13.62 | €20.23 |
 |
Volcanion ex JTG 182/159Normal | Special Illustration Rare | $13.30 | €20.21 |
 |
N's Zoroark ex JTG 189/159Normal | Hyper Rare | $12.20 | €18.37 |
 |
Iono's Bellibolt ex JTG 188/159Normal | Hyper Rare | $9.72 | €13.67 |
|
Wailord JTG 162/159Normal | Illustration Rare | $9.62 | €9.21 |
 |
Furret JTG 168/159Normal | Illustration Rare | $5.55 | €5.45 |
JTG booster box price over the last year
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Sealed product
Booster box Journey Together Booster Box$208TCGplayer market price
Booster pack Journey Together Booster Pack$6.27TCGplayer market price
Where the numbers come from
The expected value adds up, for each rarity group, the copies in a box times the average price of its cards (the English card, with its TCGplayer price or, if there isn't one, Cardmarket's converted). The simulation opens 10,000 boxes with the same rates.
TCGplayer study of more than 8,000 opened packs (95% confidence interval): Double Rare 1 in 5 packs, Ultra Rare 1 in 15, Illustration Rare 1 in 12, Special Illustration Rare 1 in 86 and Hyper Rare 1 in 137. Commons, uncommons, rares and reverse holos come from the pack layout (4 commons, 3 uncommons, 2 reverse holo slots and 1 rare or better).
Pull rate sources: tcgplayer.com (opens in a new tab)
Open it in the Kolekto Market
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