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Pokémon · Expansions

PRE Prismatic Evolutions

Released 17 January 2025 · 447 cards · 36 packs per box

Make a Prismatic Evolutions binder

Is a booster box of PRE worth opening?

Box price$73.59Box bought in a case
Expected value$188$144 to $232 depending on the rates
If you sell the cards$124With a 5% fee and leaving out cards under $0.50
A typical box$60.06The median of 10,000 simulated boxes
You get your money back40%In 1 out of 3 boxes

Yes, on average it pays off: selling the cards from a PRE box would get you $124, more than the $73.59 it costs. But that's an average: a typical box gives $60.06 and only 40% of boxes get your money back.

How reliable the rates are: fair (community estimate).

PRE pull rates

How many cards of each rarity group come in a 36-pack box, how many packs it takes to pull one specific card of the group and how much the group adds to the box value.

RarityCardsPer boxOne specificAddsShare
Special illustration 32 0.80 (0.51–1.1) 1 in 1,442 packs $96.70 52%
Common 46 144 (144–144) 1 in 12 packs $19.00 10%
Uncommon 33 108 (108–108) 1 in 11 packs $15.41 8.2%
Master Ball reverse 67 1.8 (1.3–2.2) 1 in 1,362 packs $13.57 7.2%
Reverse holo 100 56 (53–58) 1 in 65 packs $12.82 6.8%
Double Rare 25 5.9 (5.2–6.7) 1 in 151 packs $12.07 6.4%
Rare 21 27 (26–29) 1 in 28 packs $6.87 3.7%
Poké Ball reverse 100 12 (11–13) 1 in 302 packs $6.01 3.2%
Hyper Rare (gold) 5 0.20 (0.054–0.35) 1 in 891 packs $2.85 1.5%
Ultra Rare 12 2.7 (2.2–3.2) 1 in 161 packs $1.81 1.0%
ACE SPEC 6 1.7 (1.3–2.1) 1 in 128 packs $0.69 0.4%

The cards that carry the box

What weighs most in the expected value: expensive cards that are hard to pull.

The most expensive PRE cards

Their version and today's TCGplayer and Cardmarket price.

CardRarityTCGplayerCardmarket
Umbreon ex PRE 161/131Normal Special Illustration Rare $1,178 €908
Sylveon ex PRE 156/131Normal Special Illustration Rare $378 €264
Vaporeon ex PRE 149/131Normal Special Illustration Rare $216 €253
Leafeon ex PRE 144/131Normal Special Illustration Rare $285 €223
Espeon ex PRE 155/131Normal Special Illustration Rare $258 €205
Glaceon ex PRE 150/131Normal Special Illustration Rare $243 €200
Roaring Moon ex PRE 162/131Normal Special Illustration Rare $150 €176
Jolteon ex PRE 153/131Normal Special Illustration Rare $155 €174
Flareon ex PRE 146/131Normal Special Illustration Rare $167 €147
Eevee ex PRE 167/131Normal Special Illustration Rare $153 €133
Dragapult ex PRE 165/131Normal Special Illustration Rare $81.78 €82.16
Ceruledge ex PRE 147/131Normal Special Illustration Rare $88.94 €80.16

Sealed product

Where the numbers come from

The expected value adds up, for each rarity group, the copies in a box times the average price of its cards (the English card, with its TCGplayer price or, if there isn't one, Cardmarket's converted). The simulation opens 10,000 boxes with the same rates.

TCGplayer study of more than 1,500 opened packs (95% confidence interval): Double Rare 1 in 6 packs, Ultra Rare 1 in 13, ACE SPEC 1 in 21, Poké Ball reverse holo 1 in 3, Master Ball reverse holo 1 in 20, Special Illustration Rare 1 in 45 and Hyper Rare 1 in 180. Special set (no 36-pack booster box). Packs with several Special Illustration Rares (god packs) are in the average rate but not in the per-box spread. Commons, uncommons, rares and reverse holos come from the pack layout (4 commons, 3 uncommons, 2 reverse holo slots and 1 rare or better).

Pull rate sources: tcgplayer.com (opens in a new tab)

Open it in the Kolekto Market

Tweak the rates, choose between the box and loose packs and see how 10,000 simulated boxes turn out.

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