Is a booster box of FB03 worth opening?
On average, no: selling the cards from a FB03 box would get you $44.52, 30% of the $151 it costs. A typical box gives $16.70 and only 9.2% of boxes get your money back. If you're after a specific card, buying it as a single is usually cheaper.
How reliable the rates are: low (the game's generic rates: this set has no estimates of its own).
FB03 pull rates
How many cards of each rarity group come in a 24-pack box, how many packs it takes to pull one specific card of the group and how much the group adds to the box value.
| Rarity | Cards | Per box | One specific | Adds | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uncommon | 39 | 111 (109–113) | 1 in 8 packs | $20.01 | 25% |
| Secret Rare ★ | 2 | 0.17 (0.17–0.50) | 1 in 282 packs | $16.89 | 21% |
| Common | 52 | 148 (145–151) | 1 in 8 packs | $13.75 | 17% |
| Alternate Art ★ | 12 | 1.0 (1.0–1.7) | 1 in 288 packs | $9.85 | 12% |
| Super Alternate Art | 1 | 0.008 (0.008–0.083) | 1 in 2,892 packs | $6.00 | 7.4% |
| Leader ★ | 5 | 0.17 (0.17–0.33) | 1 in 706 packs | $4.02 | 5.0% |
| SR | 12 | 7.0 (5.0–8.0) | 1 in 41 packs | $3.53 | 4.4% |
| Secret Rare | 2 | 0.67 (0.50–1.0) | 1 in 72 packs | $2.72 | 3.4% |
| Rare | 30 | 15 (13–17) | 1 in 48 packs | $2.72 | 3.4% |
| Leader | 5 | 5.0 (4.0–6.0) | 1 in 24 packs | $1.03 | 1.3% |
The cards that carry the box
What weighs most in the expected value: expensive cards that are hard to pull.
Son Gohan : Youth (FB03-139): 1 in 282 packs, 19% of the box value. $182
Son Goku : GT (FB03-140): 1 in 2,892 packs, 7.4% of the box value. $723
Para Para Brothers (FB03-123): 1 in 8 packs, 6.2% of the box value. $1.75
Vegeta (FB03-089): 1 in 288 packs, 4.2% of the box value. $40.85
Son Goku (FB03-064): 1 in 288 packs, 3.6% of the box value. $34.49
Son Gohan : Youth (FB03-139): 1 in 72 packs, 1.8% of the box value. $4.41
The most expensive FB03 cards
Their version and today's TCGplayer and Cardmarket price.
| Card | Rarity | TCGplayer | Cardmarket | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Son Goku : GT FB03-140Super Alternate Art | Secret Rare | $723 | €1,038 |
|
Son Gohan : Youth FB03-139Alternate Art | Secret Rare | $182 | €150 |
 |
Son Goku : GT FB03-104Alternate Art | Leader | $32.19 | €23.41 |
 |
Son Goku : GT FB03-140Alternate Art | Secret Rare | $16.63 | €22.95 |
|
Son Goku FB03-064Alternate Art | Super Rare | $34.49 | €17.11 |
|
Vegeta FB03-089Alternate Art | Super Rare | $40.85 | €16.90 |
 |
Jiren FB03-001Alternate Art | Leader | $19.83 | €14.91 |
 |
Son Goku FB03-027Alternate Art | Leader | $23.52 | €14.73 |
 |
Piccolo FB03-053Alternate Art | Leader | $19.01 | €13.93 |
 |
Babidi // Majin Buu FB03-078Alternate Art | Leader | $23.56 | €12.38 |
 |
Vegeta FB03-020Alternate Art | Super Rare | $6.65 | €5.49 |
|
Son Gohan : Youth FB03-139Normal | Secret Rare | $4.41 | €4.29 |
FB03 booster box price over the last year
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Sealed product
Booster box Raging Roar Booster Box$151TCGplayer market price
Booster pack Raging Roar Booster Pack$7.36TCGplayer market price
Where the numbers come from
The expected value adds up, for each rarity group, the copies in a box times the average price of its cards (the English card, with its TCGplayer price or, if there isn't one, Cardmarket's converted). The simulation opens 10,000 boxes with the same rates.
Bandai publishes no Fusion World odds. Estimate: Japanese press figures (gamepedia and torecamap, with no stated sample) converted to the English box, which holds twice the cards (12-card packs against 6). No figures of its own: it uses FB07 and FB08's, which share the layout. The Super Alt-Art is the most uncertain figure: between 1 in 120 boxes (Japanese press, with a question mark) and 1 per 12-box case (TCGTalk, unmeasured).
Pull rate sources: dbs-cardgame.com (opens in a new tab) · premium.gamepedia.jp (opens in a new tab)
Open it in the Kolekto Market
Tweak the rates, choose between the box and loose packs and see how 10,000 simulated boxes turn out.