Is a booster box of FB04 worth opening?
On average, no: selling the cards from a FB04 box would get you $32.21, 21% of the $150 it costs. A typical box gives $20.92 and only 1.3% of boxes get your money back. If you're after a specific card, buying it as a single is usually cheaper.
How reliable the rates are: low (the game's generic rates: this set has no estimates of its own).
FB04 pull rates
How many cards of each rarity group come in a 24-pack box, how many packs it takes to pull one specific card of the group and how much the group adds to the box value.
| Rarity | Cards | Per box | One specific | Adds | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Common | 45 | 144 (141–147) | 1 in 8 packs | $14.42 | 22% |
| Uncommon | 36 | 115 (113–117) | 1 in 8 packs | $13.81 | 21% |
| Secret Rare ★ | 2 | 0.17 (0.17–0.50) | 1 in 282 packs | $10.87 | 16% |
| Secret Rare | 2 | 0.67 (0.50–1.0) | 1 in 72 packs | $8.17 | 12% |
| Super Alternate Art | 1 | 0.008 (0.008–0.083) | 1 in 2,892 packs | $5.01 | 7.5% |
| Alternate Art ★ | 17 | 1.3 (1.0–1.7) | 1 in 307 packs | $4.94 | 7.4% |
| Leader ★ | 5 | 0.17 (0.17–0.33) | 1 in 706 packs | $4.11 | 6.2% |
| SR | 12 | 7.0 (5.0–8.0) | 1 in 41 packs | $2.49 | 3.7% |
| Rare | 30 | 15 (13–17) | 1 in 48 packs | $2.11 | 3.2% |
| Leader | 5 | 5.0 (4.0–6.0) | 1 in 24 packs | $0.85 | 1.3% |
The cards that carry the box
What weighs most in the expected value: expensive cards that are hard to pull.
Son Goku (FB04-129): 1 in 282 packs, 14% of the box value. $108
Son Goku (FB04-129): 1 in 72 packs, 11% of the box value. $21.67
Son Goku (FB04-129): 1 in 2,892 packs, 7.5% of the box value. $604
Vegito (FB04-130): 1 in 282 packs, 2.6% of the box value. $20.05
Son Gohan : Adolescence (FB04-026): 1 in 706 packs, 1.7% of the box value. $33.55
Son Goku (FB04-001): 1 in 706 packs, 1.5% of the box value. $28.76
The most expensive FB04 cards
Their version and today's TCGplayer and Cardmarket price.
| Card | Rarity | TCGplayer | Cardmarket | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Son Goku FB04-129Super Alternate Art | Secret Rare | $604 | €634 |
|
Son Goku FB04-129Alternate Art | Secret Rare | $108 | €84.95 |
|
Son Gohan : Adolescence FB04-026Alternate Art | Leader | $33.55 | €29.00 |
|
Son Goku FB04-001Alternate Art | Leader | $28.76 | €23.19 |
 |
Vegeta FB04-051Alternate Art | Leader | $27.93 | €20.40 |
|
Son Goku FB04-129Normal | Secret Rare | $21.67 | — |
 |
Majin Buu : Evil FB04-077Alternate Art | Leader | $15.92 | €15.83 |
|
Vegito FB04-130Alternate Art | Secret Rare | $20.05 | €12.24 |
 |
Baby Vegeta // Super Baby 2 FB04-103Alternate Art | Leader | $14.81 | €11.83 |
 |
Gotenks FB04-033Alternate Art | Super Rare | $12.42 | — |
 |
Frieza FB04-018Alternate Art | Super Rare | $6.03 | — |
 |
Trunks : GT- FB04-114 FB04-114Alternate Art | Super Rare | $5.34 | — |
FB04 booster box price over the last year
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Sealed product
Booster box Ultra Limit Booster Box$150TCGplayer market price
Booster pack Ultra Limit Booster Pack$6.94TCGplayer market price
Where the numbers come from
The expected value adds up, for each rarity group, the copies in a box times the average price of its cards (the English card, with its TCGplayer price or, if there isn't one, Cardmarket's converted). The simulation opens 10,000 boxes with the same rates.
Bandai publishes no Fusion World odds. Estimate: Japanese press figures (gamepedia and torecamap, with no stated sample) converted to the English box, which holds twice the cards (12-card packs against 6). No figures of its own: it uses FB07 and FB08's, which share the layout. The Super Alt-Art is the most uncertain figure: between 1 in 120 boxes (Japanese press, with a question mark) and 1 per 12-box case (TCGTalk, unmeasured).
Pull rate sources: dbs-cardgame.com (opens in a new tab) · premium.gamepedia.jp (opens in a new tab)
Open it in the Kolekto Market
Tweak the rates, choose between the box and loose packs and see how 10,000 simulated boxes turn out.