Is a booster box of FB10 worth opening?
On average, no: selling the cards from a FB10 box would get you $145, 62% of the $233 it costs. A typical box gives $78.72 and only 9.5% of boxes get your money back. If you're after a specific card, buying it as a single is usually cheaper.
How reliable the rates are: fair (community estimate).
FB10 pull rates
How many cards of each rarity group come in a 24-pack box, how many packs it takes to pull one specific card of the group and how much the group adds to the box value.
| Rarity | Cards | Per box | One specific | Adds | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Super Alternate Art | 3 | 0.033 (0.033–0.083) | 1 in 2,182 packs | $42.59 | 23% |
| Alternate Art ★ | 28 | 1.7 (1.5–2.0) | 1 in 402 packs | $41.81 | 23% |
| Secret Rare ★ | 3 | 0.25 (0.25–0.50) | 1 in 288 packs | $30.69 | 17% |
| Uncommon | 34 | 117 (115–120) | 1 in 7 packs | $20.27 | 11% |
| Leader ★ | 5 | 0.17 (0.17–0.33) | 1 in 706 packs | $15.44 | 8.4% |
| Common | 41 | 142 (139–144) | 1 in 7 packs | $10.60 | 5.8% |
| SR | 15 | 6.0 (5.0–8.0) | 1 in 60 packs | $9.02 | 4.9% |
| Secret Rare | 3 | 0.67 (0.50–1.0) | 1 in 108 packs | $8.54 | 4.7% |
| Rare | 25 | 17 (13–17) | 1 in 36 packs | $3.50 | 1.9% |
| Leader | 5 | 5.0 (4.0–6.0) | 1 in 24 packs | $1.01 | 0.6% |
The cards that carry the box
What weighs most in the expected value: expensive cards that are hard to pull.
Vegito (FB10-121): 1 in 2,182 packs, 10% of the box value. $1,683
Son Gohan : Childhood (FB10-122): 1 in 288 packs, 7.6% of the box value. $167
Son Gohan : Childhood (FB10-122): 1 in 2,182 packs, 7.1% of the box value. $1,189
Cell (FB10-123): 1 in 288 packs, 6.7% of the box value. $149
Cell (FB10-123): 1 in 2,182 packs, 6.0% of the box value. $999
Vegito (FB10-121): 1 in 107 packs, 3.3% of the box value. $26.87
The most expensive FB10 cards
Their version and today's TCGplayer and Cardmarket price.
| Card | Rarity | TCGplayer | Cardmarket | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Vegito FB10-121Super Alternate Art | Secret Rare | — | €1,508 |
|
Cell FB10-123Super Alternate Art | Secret Rare | $999 | €964 |
|
Son Gohan : Childhood FB10-122Super Alternate Art | Secret Rare | $1,189 | €869 |
|
Son Gohan : Childhood FB10-122Alternate Art | Secret Rare | $167 | €239 |
|
Cell FB10-123Alternate Art | Secret Rare | $149 | €140 |
 |
Son Goku/Vegeta // Vegito FB10-025Alternate Art | Leader | $169 | €136 |
 |
Son Goku FB10-001Alternate Art | Leader | $152 | €123 |
 |
Vegito FB10-041Alternate Art | Uncommon | $75.37 | €75.97 |
 |
Potara FB10-047Alternate Art | Rare | $75.80 | €60.75 |
 |
Vegito FB10-121Alternate Art | Secret Rare | $52.74 | €58.05 |
 |
Cell FB10-097Alternate Art | Leader | $64.05 | €53.24 |
 |
Boujack FB10-073Alternate Art | Leader | $37.42 | €49.00 |
FB10 booster box price over the last year
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Sealed product
Booster box Cross Force Booster Box$233TCGplayer market price
Booster pack Cross Force Booster Pack$9.41TCGplayer market price
Where the numbers come from
The expected value adds up, for each rarity group, the copies in a box times the average price of its cards (the English card, with its TCGplayer price or, if there isn't one, Cardmarket's converted). The simulation opens 10,000 boxes with the same rates.
Bandai publishes no Fusion World odds. Estimate: Japanese press figures (gamepedia and torecamap, with no stated sample) converted to the English box, which holds twice the cards (12-card packs against 6). Checked against about 120 English packs from TCGTalk. The Super Alt-Art is the most uncertain figure: between 1 in 120 boxes (Japanese press, with a question mark) and 1 per 12-box case (TCGTalk, unmeasured).
Pull rate sources: dbs-cardgame.com (opens in a new tab) · premium.gamepedia.jp (opens in a new tab) · tcgtalk.com (opens in a new tab)
Open it in the Kolekto Market
Tweak the rates, choose between the box and loose packs and see how 10,000 simulated boxes turn out.