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One Piece · Booster packs

OP07 500 Years in the Future

Released 28 June 2024 · 154 cards · 24 packs per box

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500 Years in the Future - Booster Box

Is a booster box of OP07 worth opening?

Box price$324TCGplayer market price
Expected value$163$114 to $219 depending on the rates
If you sell the cards$125With a 5% fee and leaving out cards under $0.50
A typical box$64.66The median of 10,000 simulated boxes
You get your money back3.4%In 1 out of 29 boxes

On average, no: selling the cards from a OP07 box would get you $125, 39% of the $324 it costs. A typical box gives $64.66 and only 3.4% of boxes get your money back. If you're after a specific card, buying it as a single is usually cheaper.

How reliable the rates are: fair (community estimate).

OP07 pull rates

How many cards of each rarity group come in a 24-pack box, how many packs it takes to pull one specific card of the group and how much the group adds to the box value.

RarityCardsPer boxOne specificAddsShare
Manga 1 0.021 (0.014–0.035) 1 in 1,143 packs $45.72 28%
Rare 26 36 (26–40) 1 in 17 packs $24.29 15%
AA 16 1.8 (1.3–2.2) 1 in 213 packs $20.79 13%
Common 45 165 (155–175) 1 in 7 packs $17.64 11%
Leader AA 6 0.33 (0.20–0.42) 1 in 436 packs $13.06 8.0%
SP 6 0.10 (0.060–0.17) 1 in 1,440 packs $11.57 7.1%
Uncommon 30 70 (60–75) 1 in 10 packs $8.89 5.5%
SR 10 7.0 (5.0–8.0) 1 in 34 packs $8.52 5.2%
Treasure Rare 1 0.083 (0.042–0.11) 1 in 289 packs $8.19 5.0%
SEC AA 2 0.20 (0.10–0.25) 1 in 240 packs $2.29 1.4%
Leader 6 5.0 (3.0–8.0) 1 in 29 packs $0.91 0.6%
SEC 2 0.50 (0.33–0.75) 1 in 96 packs $0.69 0.4%

The cards that carry the box

What weighs most in the expected value: expensive cards that are hard to pull.

The most expensive OP07 cards

Their version and today's TCGplayer and Cardmarket price.

CardRarityTCGplayerCardmarket
Boa Hancock OP07-051Parallel · Manga Super Rare $2,177 €1,744
O-Nami OP06-101SP Rare $445 —
Trafalgar Law ST10-010TR Treasure Rare $98.72 €80.93
Donquixote Doflamingo OP01-073SP Rare $64.55 €75.48
Boa Hancock OP07-038Parallel Leader $94.20 €60.98
Eustass"Captain"Kid OP05-074SP Super Rare $59.60 €57.11
Izo OP03-003SP Rare $42.85 —
Okiku OP01-035SP Rare $42.17 —
Issho OP03-078SP Super Rare $39.71 €29.73
Vegapunk OP07-097Parallel Leader $38.85 €24.87
Jewelry Bonney OP07-019Parallel Leader $37.00 €23.78
Monkey.D.Luffy OP07-109Parallel Super Rare $34.29 €19.68

OP07 booster box price over the last year

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TCGplayer market price, in dollars.

Sealed product

Where the numbers come from

The expected value adds up, for each rarity group, the copies in a box times the average price of its cards (the English card, with its TCGplayer price or, if there isn't one, Cardmarket's converted). The simulation opens 10,000 boxes with the same rates.

Community estimate for English boxes; OP07's SPs are reported as scarcer (~1 per 12-box case).

Pull rate sources: en.onepiece-cardgame.com (opens in a new tab) · onepiece.app (opens in a new tab) · archivedrops.com (opens in a new tab)

Open it in the Kolekto Market

Tweak the rates, choose between the box and loose packs and see how 10,000 simulated boxes turn out.

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