Is a booster box of OP11 worth opening?
On average, no: selling the cards from a OP11 box would get you $237, 45% of the $533 it costs. A typical box gives $60.37 and only 4.5% of boxes get your money back. If you're after a specific card, buying it as a single is usually cheaper.
How reliable the rates are: fair (community estimate).
OP11 pull rates
How many cards of each rarity group come in a 24-pack box, how many packs it takes to pull one specific card of the group and how much the group adds to the box value.
| Rarity | Cards | Per box | One specific | Adds | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anniversary SP gold/silver | 2 | 0.013 (0.006–0.025) | 1 in 3,840 packs | $116 | 41% |
| AA | 19 | 1.8 (1.3–2.2) | 1 in 253 packs | $46.39 | 17% |
| Manga | 1 | 0.026 (0.015–0.040) | 1 in 923 packs | $34.06 | 12% |
| SP | 6 | 0.17 (0.080–0.25) | 1 in 847 packs | $24.41 | 8.7% |
| Common | 45 | 165 (155–175) | 1 in 7 packs | $14.78 | 5.3% |
| Leader AA | 6 | 0.33 (0.20–0.42) | 1 in 436 packs | $11.36 | 4.0% |
| Rare | 26 | 36 (26–40) | 1 in 17 packs | $9.80 | 3.5% |
| Uncommon | 30 | 70 (60–75) | 1 in 10 packs | $9.47 | 3.4% |
| SR | 10 | 7.0 (5.0–8.0) | 1 in 34 packs | $8.86 | 3.2% |
| SEC AA | 2 | 0.17 (0.080–0.25) | 1 in 282 packs | $2.20 | 0.8% |
| Treasure Rare | 1 | 0.083 (0.042–0.11) | 1 in 289 packs | $1.43 | 0.5% |
| SEC | 2 | 0.50 (0.33–0.75) | 1 in 96 packs | $1.16 | 0.4% |
| Leader | 6 | 5.0 (3.0–8.0) | 1 in 29 packs | $0.83 | 0.3% |
The cards that carry the box
What weighs most in the expected value: expensive cards that are hard to pull.
Monkey.D.Luffy (OP05-119): 1 in 3,840 packs, 29% of the box value. $13,000
Monkey.D.Luffy (OP05-119): 1 in 3,840 packs, 13% of the box value. $5,625
Monkey.D.Luffy (OP11-118): 1 in 923 packs, 12% of the box value. $1,310
Gear Two (OP11-080): 1 in 253 packs, 8.5% of the box value. $251
Luffy-Tarou (ST18-005): 1 in 847 packs, 3.0% of the box value. $294
Shanks (ST16-004): 1 in 847 packs, 1.6% of the box value. $163
The most expensive OP11 cards
Their version and today's TCGplayer and Cardmarket price.
| Card | Rarity | TCGplayer | Cardmarket | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Monkey.D.Luffy OP05-119SP · Gold | Secret Rare | $13,000 | — |
|
Monkey.D.Luffy OP05-119SP | Secret Rare | $5,625 | — |
|
Monkey.D.Luffy OP11-118Manga | Secret Rare | $1,310 | €1,164 |
|
Gear Two OP11-080Alternate Art | Rare | $251 | €290 |
|
Luffy-Tarou ST18-005SP | Super Rare | $294 | — |
|
Shanks ST16-004SP | Super Rare | $163 | — |
 |
Sanji OP06-119SP | Secret Rare | $123 | €106 |
 |
Stussy OP07-085SP | Super Rare | $135 | €85.45 |
 |
Shirahoshi EB01-057SP | Super Rare | $98.16 | €70.96 |
 |
Gum-Gum Fire-Fist Pistol Red Hawk OP11-114Alternate Art | Rare | $42.21 | €61.47 |
 |
Silvers Rayleigh OP09-005SP | Rare | $49.17 | €51.72 |
 |
Monkey.D.Luffy OP11-040Alternate Art | Leader | $49.14 | €40.44 |
OP11 booster box price over the last year
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Sealed product
Booster box A Fist of Divine Speed Booster Box$533TCGplayer market price
Booster pack A Fist of Divine Speed Booster Pack$10.60TCGplayer market price
Where the numbers come from
The expected value adds up, for each rarity group, the copies in a box times the average price of its cards (the English card, with its TCGplayer price or, if there isn't one, Cardmarket's converted). The simulation opens 10,000 boxes with the same rates.
Community estimate for English boxes; the anniversary SPs (gold/silver Luffy) are split out, ~1 in 80 boxes between the two.
Pull rate sources: en.onepiece-cardgame.com (opens in a new tab) · onepiece.app (opens in a new tab) · tcgplayer.com (opens in a new tab)
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