Is a booster box of OP13 worth opening?
On average, no: selling the cards from a OP13 box would get you $214, 51% of the $416 it costs. A typical box gives $68.17 and only 9.9% of boxes get your money back. If you're after a specific card, buying it as a single is usually cheaper.
How reliable the rates are: fair (community estimate).
OP13 pull rates
How many cards of each rarity group come in a 24-pack box, how many packs it takes to pull one specific card of the group and how much the group adds to the box value.
| Rarity | Cards | Per box | One specific | Adds | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Red Super AA | 3 | 0.011 (0.007–0.017) | 1 in 6,793 packs | $45.13 | 18% |
| Five Elders (demon pack) | 5 | 0.075 (0.050–0.10) | 1 in 1,600 packs | $29.25 | 12% |
| AA | 22 | 1.8 (1.3–2.2) | 1 in 293 packs | $29.24 | 12% |
| Super AA | 3 | 0.021 (0.014–0.030) | 1 in 3,429 packs | $28.41 | 11% |
| Anniversary SP gold/silver | 2 | 0.021 (0.010–0.035) | 1 in 2,308 packs | $26.37 | 11% |
| Wanted | 3 | 0.083 (0.040–0.17) | 1 in 868 packs | $21.07 | 8.4% |
| SP | 7 | 0.17 (0.080–0.25) | 1 in 988 packs | $18.36 | 7.3% |
| Common | 45 | 165 (155–175) | 1 in 7 packs | $11.55 | 4.6% |
| Rare | 26 | 36 (26–40) | 1 in 17 packs | $10.94 | 4.3% |
| Leader AA | 6 | 0.33 (0.20–0.42) | 1 in 436 packs | $8.52 | 3.4% |
| Uncommon | 30 | 70 (60–75) | 1 in 10 packs | $6.95 | 2.8% |
| SEC AA | 3 | 0.17 (0.080–0.25) | 1 in 424 packs | $4.64 | 1.8% |
| SR | 10 | 7.0 (5.0–8.0) | 1 in 34 packs | $4.35 | 1.7% |
| SEC | 3 | 0.50 (0.33–0.75) | 1 in 144 packs | $3.76 | 1.5% |
| Treasure Rare | 1 | 0.083 (0.042–0.11) | 1 in 289 packs | $2.84 | 1.1% |
| Leader | 6 | 5.0 (3.0–8.0) | 1 in 29 packs | $0.81 | 0.3% |
The cards that carry the box
What weighs most in the expected value: expensive cards that are hard to pull.
Monkey.D.Luffy (OP13-118): 1 in 6,792 packs, 11% of the box value. $7,500
Sabo (OP13-120): 1 in 6,792 packs, 6.7% of the box value. $4,800
Shanks (OP09-004): 1 in 2,308 packs, 6.3% of the box value. $1,533
Monkey.D.Luffy (OP13-118): 1 in 3,429 packs, 6.1% of the box value. $2,209
Shanks (OP09-004): 1 in 2,308 packs, 4.1% of the box value. $1,003
Portgas.D.Ace (OP13-119): 1 in 867 packs, 3.7% of the box value. $338
The most expensive OP13 cards
Their version and today's TCGplayer and Cardmarket price.
| Card | Rarity | TCGplayer | Cardmarket | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Sabo OP13-120Red Super Alternate Art | Secret Rare | $4,800 | — |
|
Monkey.D.Luffy OP13-118Red Super Alternate Art | Secret Rare | $7,500 | €3,548 |
|
Monkey.D.Luffy OP13-118Super Alternate Art | Secret Rare | $2,209 | — |
|
Shanks OP09-004SP · Gold | Super Rare | $1,533 | — |
 |
Portgas.D.Ace OP13-119Super Alternate Art | Secret Rare | $1,101 | — |
|
Shanks OP09-004SP · Silver | Super Rare | $1,003 | — |
 |
Sabo OP13-120Super Alternate Art | Secret Rare | $749 | — |
 |
St. Marcus Mars OP13-091Parallel | Rare | $485 | €473 |
 |
St. Shepherd Ju Peter OP13-084Parallel | Rare | $350 | €456 |
 |
St. Ethanbaron V. Nusjuro OP13-080Parallel | Rare | $385 | €432 |
 |
St. Topman Warcury OP13-089Parallel | Rare | $361 | €426 |
 |
Portgas.D.Ace OP13-119Red Super Alternate Art | Secret Rare | — | €423 |
OP13 booster box price over the last year
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Sealed product
Booster box Carrying On His Will Booster Box$416TCGplayer market price
Booster pack Carrying On His Will Booster Pack$9.69TCGplayer market price
Where the numbers come from
The expected value adds up, for each rarity group, the copies in a box times the average price of its cards (the English card, with its TCGplayer price or, if there isn't one, Cardmarket's converted). The simulation opens 10,000 boxes with the same rates.
Community estimate for English boxes: Super Alt ~1 in 48 boxes and Red Super ~1 in 94 (they share a group, so the uniform split overvalues the red ones). The special-pack Five Elders need flagging separately in the catalogue.
Pull rate sources: en.onepiece-cardgame.com (opens in a new tab) · onepiece.app (opens in a new tab) · tcgplayer.com (opens in a new tab)
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